Fed Dot Plot May Fade: Warsh Debut Hints at Rate Hike?

As dot plot may fade and forward guidance weakens, market reassesses rate hike risk. This article reviews how inflation, jobs, FOMC shifts impact rate expectations.

Fed Holds but Hawkish; Warsh Downplays Forward Guidance

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/www/wwwroot/cjgpcs.cn/vendor/topthink/think-multi-app/src/Url.php ( 7.52 KB )
/www/wwwroot/cjgpcs.cn/vendor/topthink/framework/src/think/route/Url.php ( 14.05 KB )
/www/wwwroot/cjgpcs.cn/vendor/topthink/framework/src/think/Response.php ( 9.07 KB )
/www/wwwroot/cjgpcs.cn/vendor/topthink/framework/src/think/response/Html.php ( 0.97 KB )
/www/wwwroot/cjgpcs.cn/vendor/topthink/think-trace/src/Html.php ( 4.42 KB )

CONNECT:[ UseTime:0.004110s ] mysql:host=127.0.0.1;port=3306;dbname=cjgpcs;charset=utf8mb4
SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `g3ys_config` [ RunTime:0.012056s ]
SELECT `value` FROM `g3ys_config` WHERE `name` = 'timezone' AND `subsite_id` = '26' LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.002641s ]
SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `g3ys_route` [ RunTime:0.002612s ]
SELECT * FROM `g3ys_route` WHERE ( `subsite_id` = '26' OR `subsite_id` = '0' ) AND `module` = 'home' AND `status` = 1 ORDER BY `sort` DESC,`id` ASC [ RunTime:0.000904s ]
SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `g3ys_theme` [ RunTime:0.003242s ]
SELECT `paginator` FROM `g3ys_theme` WHERE `module` = 'home' AND `name` = 'scientex' AND `subsite_id` = '26' LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.000775s ]
SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `g3ys_lang` [ RunTime:0.003221s ]
SELECT * FROM `g3ys_lang` WHERE `subsite_id` = 26 AND ( ( LOWER(name) = 'en-us' ) OR `subtag` = 'en-us' ) AND `status` = 1 ORDER BY `id` ASC LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.001250s ]
SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `g3ys_member` [ RunTime:0.006793s ]
SELECT * FROM `g3ys_member` WHERE `id` = 0 AND `subsite_id` = '26' LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.001256s ]
SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `g3ys_document` [ RunTime:0.004286s ]
SELECT `id`,`document_type` FROM `g3ys_document` WHERE `subsite_id` = 26 AND `name` = 'meilianchu-dianzhen-tu-dan-chu-wosh-shouxiu-jiaxi-xinhao' AND `status` IN ('1','2') LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.001128s ]
SELECT * FROM `g3ys_document` WHERE ( `name` = '4946' OR `id` = '4946' ) AND `subsite_id` = 26 LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.002410s ]
SHOW TABLES LIKE 'g3ys_document_article' [ RunTime:0.002901s ]
SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `g3ys_document_article` [ RunTime:0.001975s ]
SELECT * FROM `g3ys_document_article` WHERE `document_id` = '4946' LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.000859s ]
SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `g3ys_total` [ RunTime:0.002329s ]
SELECT * FROM `g3ys_total` WHERE `target_id` = '4946' LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.000775s ]
SHOW TABLES LIKE 'g3ys_document_article_lang' [ RunTime:0.002434s ]
SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `g3ys_document_article_lang` [ RunTime:0.002138s ]
SELECT * FROM `g3ys_document_article_lang` WHERE `subsite_id` = '26' AND `lang` = 'en-US' AND `document_id` = '4946' [ RunTime:0.009054s ]
SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `g3ys_document_article_lang` [ RunTime:0.002314s ]
SHOW TABLES LIKE 'g3ys_category_lang' [ RunTime:0.002266s ]
SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `g3ys_category_lang` [ RunTime:0.001924s ]
SELECT * FROM `g3ys_category_lang` WHERE `subsite_id` = '26' AND `category_id` = '1239' AND `lang` = 'en-US' LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.000737s ]
SELECT * FROM `g3ys_total` WHERE `target_id` = '4946' LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.000685s ]
UPDATE `g3ys_total` SET `view_total` = `view_total` + 1 WHERE `target_id` = '4946' [ RunTime:0.002185s ]
SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `g3ys_record` [ RunTime:0.004009s ]
SELECT `id` FROM `g3ys_record` WHERE `subsite_id` = '26' AND `type` = 'article' AND `url` = 'https://www.thaitour.asia/meilianchu-dianzhen-tu-dan-chu-wosh-shouxiu-jiaxi-xinhao' AND `create_time` >= 1790916237 AND ( `visitor_id` = '18f524bc5a8bcc6a7d1c370d422fcada' OR `session_id` = '3aefd1482c50861c15dae7cf45ed4b0f' ) LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.001587s ]
INSERT INTO `g3ys_record` SET `subsite_id` = '26' , `uid` = '0' , `visitor_id` = '18f524bc5a8bcc6a7d1c370d422fcada' , `session_id` = '3aefd1482c50861c15dae7cf45ed4b0f' , `type` = 'article' , `target_id` = '4946' , `target_type` = 0 , `category_id` = '1239' , `title` = 'Fed Dot Plot May Fade: Warsh Debut Hints at Rate Hike?' , `url` = 'https://www.thaitour.asia/meilianchu-dianzhen-tu-dan-chu-wosh-shouxiu-jiaxi-xinhao' , `path` = '/meilianchu-dianzhen-tu-dan-chu-wosh-shouxiu-jiaxi-xinhao' , `query_string` = '' , `referer` = '' , `referer_domain` = '' , `source_type` = 'direct' , `source_domain` = '' , `search_engine` = '' , `search_keyword` = '' , `utm_source` = '' , `utm_medium` = '' , `utm_campaign` = '' , `utm_term` = '' , `utm_content` = '' , `ip` = '216.73.216.69' , `user_agent` = 'Mozilla/5.0 AppleWebKit/537.36 (KHTML, like Gecko; compatible; ClaudeBot/1.0; +claudebot@anthropic.com)' , `device_type` = 'pc' , `browser` = '其他' , `browser_version` = '' , `os` = '其他' , `os_version` = '' , `language` = '' , `is_spider` = 0 , `spider_name` = '' , `status_code` = 200 , `country` = '' , `province` = '' , `city` = '' , `district` = '' , `isp` = '' , `region_code` = '' , `geo_status` = 0 , `geo_time` = 0 , `create_time` = 1790916297 , `update_time` = 1790916297 [ RunTime:0.004814s ]
SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `g3ys_comment` [ RunTime:0.006358s ]
SELECT COUNT(*) AS think_count FROM `g3ys_comment` WHERE `target_id` = '4946' AND `pid` = '0' [ RunTime:0.001224s ]
SELECT * FROM `g3ys_document` WHERE `category_id` = 1239 AND `subsite_id` = 26 AND `pid` = '0' AND `status` = '1' AND ( ( sort > 0) or ( sort = 0 and id < 4946) ) ORDER BY `sort` ASC,`id` DESC LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.003424s ]
SELECT * FROM `g3ys_document` WHERE `category_id` = 1239 AND `subsite_id` = 26 AND `pid` = '4946' AND `status` = '1' AND `document_type` = 0 ORDER BY `sort` DESC,`id` ASC LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.002428s ]
SELECT * FROM `g3ys_document` WHERE `category_id` = 1239 AND `subsite_id` = 26 AND `pid` = '0' AND `status` = '1' AND `document_type` = 0 AND ( ( sort>0 and sort <= 0 and id!=4946) or ( sort = 0 and id > 4946) ) ORDER BY `sort` DESC,`id` ASC LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.001696s ]
SELECT * FROM `g3ys_document_article_lang` WHERE `subsite_id` = '26' AND `lang` = 'en-US' AND `document_id` = '4956' [ RunTime:0.023481s ]
SELECT * FROM `g3ys_route` WHERE ( `subsite_id` = '26' OR `subsite_id` = '0' ) AND `module` = 'home' AND `status` = 1 ORDER BY `sort` DESC,`id` ASC [ RunTime:0.002069s ]
SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `g3ys_ad_location` [ RunTime:0.003885s ]
SELECT * FROM `g3ys_ad_location` WHERE `name` = 'ad-detail-full' AND `subsite_id` = '26' AND `status` = 1 LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.001290s ]
SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `g3ys_ad` [ RunTime:0.004277s ]
SELECT * FROM `g3ys_ad` WHERE `subsite_id` = '26' AND `ad_location_id` = '23' AND `status` = 1 AND `device` IN ('all','pc') AND ( `start_time` = 0 OR `start_time` <= 1790916297 ) AND ( `end_time` = 0 OR `end_time` >= 1790916297 ) ORDER BY `sort` DESC,`id` DESC [ RunTime:0.001559s ]
SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `g3ys_ad_lang` [ RunTime:0.003010s ]
SELECT * FROM `g3ys_ad_lang` WHERE `ad_id` = 23 AND `subsite_id` = '26' AND `lang` = 'en-US' [ RunTime:0.001100s ]
SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `g3ys_ad_lang` [ RunTime:0.003010s ]
SELECT * FROM `g3ys_route` WHERE ( `subsite_id` = '26' OR `subsite_id` = '0' ) AND `module` = 'home' AND `status` = 1 ORDER BY `sort` DESC,`id` ASC [ RunTime:0.001276s ]
SELECT * FROM `g3ys_route` WHERE ( `subsite_id` = '26' OR `subsite_id` = '0' ) AND `module` = 'home' AND `status` = 1 ORDER BY `sort` DESC,`id` ASC [ RunTime:0.001060s ]
SELECT * FROM `g3ys_route` WHERE ( `subsite_id` = '26' OR `subsite_id` = '0' ) AND `module` = 'home' AND `status` = 1 ORDER BY `sort` DESC,`id` ASC [ RunTime:0.000930s ]
SELECT * FROM `g3ys_route` WHERE ( `subsite_id` = '26' OR `subsite_id` = '0' ) AND `module` = 'home' AND `status` = 1 ORDER BY `sort` DESC,`id` ASC [ RunTime:0.001103s ]
SELECT * FROM `g3ys_route` WHERE ( `subsite_id` = '26' OR `subsite_id` = '0' ) AND `module` = 'home' AND `status` = 1 ORDER BY `sort` DESC,`id` ASC [ RunTime:0.001006s ]
SELECT * FROM `g3ys_route` WHERE ( `subsite_id` = '26' OR `subsite_id` = '0' ) AND `module` = 'home' AND `status` = 1 ORDER BY `sort` DESC,`id` ASC [ RunTime:0.001182s ]
SELECT * FROM `g3ys_route` WHERE ( `subsite_id` = '26' OR `subsite_id` = '0' ) AND `module` = 'home' AND `status` = 1 ORDER BY `sort` DESC,`id` ASC [ RunTime:0.001133s ]
SELECT * FROM `g3ys_route` WHERE ( `subsite_id` = '26' OR `subsite_id` = '0' ) AND `module` = 'home' AND `status` = 1 ORDER BY `sort` DESC,`id` ASC [ RunTime:0.001077s ]
SELECT * FROM `g3ys_route` WHERE ( `subsite_id` = '26' OR `subsite_id` = '0' ) AND `module` = 'home' AND `status` = 1 ORDER BY `sort` DESC,`id` ASC [ RunTime:0.000917s ]

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